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2026-06-24data

Natural Ungrokking: Asymmetric Control of Which Rules Survive Pretraining

Juliana Li, Diya Sreedhar

PDF preview for Natural Ungrokking: Asymmetric Control of Which Rules Survive Pretraining
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Key claim

Frequency of evidence dictates which rules survive in models.

In plain English

Imagine you're training a language model to understand pronouns based on names. Initially, it learns that if it sees a girl's name, it should use 'she' for the next pronoun. However, as training continues, it can completely forget this rule, even though the training data still contains examples that support it. This forgetting happens because the model is influenced by how often it sees evidence for the rule during training. If it encounters competing patterns more frequently, it will prioritize those instead. This phenomenon is called natural ungrokking, where the model's ability to retain learned rules is dictated by the training data's statistics rather than its performance metrics. Once a rule is lost, attempts to reintroduce support for it don't help; the model simply won't recover the lost knowledge. This insight is crucial for anyone building language models, as it suggests that the training process can lead to unpredictable learning dynamics that aren't reflected in traditional loss metrics.

Novelty
8.0/10

The paper introduces the concept of natural ungrokking, revealing how models forget learned rules based on corpus statistics.

Reliability
7.5/10

The findings are supported by multiple runs across different corpora and budgets, though some claims could benefit from more extensive validation.

Deep reliability assessment

The methodology supports a real within-run forgetting effect for specific linguistic rules under controlled small-LM pretraining, with preregistered thresholds, held-out probes, corpus interventions, and some corroboration from public Pythia checkpoints. The broader claims about capability loss in production-scale models, continual pretraining, and irreversibility are plausible but overextended relative to the evidence, which is still concentrated on a few rules, small models, and limited corpora.

Reproducibility

No code repository is mentioned in the provided paper text. Some ingredients are public, including TinyStories and Pythia checkpoints, but the exact web corpus, intervention scripts, probe sets, and preregistration materials are not linked in the excerpt.

Key figure

Figure 1 shows held-out pronoun-gender conflict accuracy rising and then collapsing during web pretraining while TinyStories remains stable, alongside a contrast-margin trace whose zero crossing aligns with behavioral collapse.